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Patriot Industries Case Study
Patriot
Industries, an established textile manufacturer
of embroidered golf shirts and hats, acquired
Swamp Fox Industries in 1970. Swamp Fox
Industries was a manufacturer of textile
manufacturing equipment but also owned a
manufacturer of drill bits and derricks for oil
field service companies. Swamp Fox Industries
continued to grow under the ownership of Patriot
Industries and contributes roughly $20 million
to the Company’s annual revenues of $75
million. The division that manufacturers the
drill bits and derricks for oil field service
companies also continued to grow, particularly
in the early 2000s as oil prices rose
substantially which, in turn, prompted increased
exploration activity. This division, however,
only contributes about $10 million to Patriot
Industries’ annual revenues (half of Swamp Fox
Industries’ revenues) but historically has not
been and is not currently profitable. As a
result of the division’s inability to achieve
economies of scale, the net losses have mounted
at the division even though revenues have
increased substantially. Net income and net
cash flow to invested capital at the division
for the last fiscal year were ($1,000,000) and
($1,250,000), respectively.
In an effort to
track the value created by the executive
management and the long-term wealth created as a
result of the execution of the Company’s
strategic plan, the shareholders agreed to adopt
an annual valuation policy whereby an
independent valuation firm would be engaged to
estimate the fair market value of the Company
each year. After a thorough financial analysis
and extensive research, the valuation analyst
concludes the following with respect to the
valuation of Patriot Industries:
·
It
is appropriate to use the direct market data
method under the market approach to value the
Company. The analyst elects to use a
price-to-sales ratio to develop an indication of
value. Given the drag on earnings resulting
from the oil equipment manufacturing division,
the analyst selects a price-to-sales ratio of
0.50, which is below the median ratio of 0.70
for the entire set of transaction data relating
to textile manufacturers. This produces an
indication of value of $37,500,000. When
adjusting for packaging differences (cash,
accounts receivable, and accounts payable), the
value indication is $37,000,000. The analyst
will weight this method 50% in determining the
final value.
·
The Company is relatively mature and has stable
income and earnings. As a result, the analyst
elects to use a single period capitalization
method to develop an indication of value under
the Income Approach. The Company’s net cash
flow to invested capital is estimated at $5
million. The analyst estimates the Company’s
weighted average cost of capital at 15%. The
growth prospects for the Company appear
favorable, so the analyst selects a long-term
sustainable growth rate of 4%. This results in
a capitalization rate of 11%. This produces an
indication of value of $45,454,545.
·
The Company has assets that do not fit well
together—textile and textile equipment
manufacturing and oil equipment manufacturing.
The analyst elects to apply a portfolio discount
of 10%, to both value indications, in addition
to the 25% lack of marketability discount,
applicable to the value indication under the
Income Approach, arrived at through analysis of
multiple factors. The analyst quantifies the
portfolio discount by analyzing publicly traded
conglomerate companies and comparing the
valuation of the conglomerate to the value of
the individual parts of the company. The
analyst estimates that conglomerates trade at a
10% discount to the sum of their parts.
Based on this
information, the analyst calculates the value of
Patriot Industries in the following table:
|
TABLE 1 |
|
|
Patriot Industries |
|
|
Direct Market Data Method |
|
|
Revenues |
$75,000,000 |
|
P/S
Multiple |
0.50 |
|
Packaging Differences |
($500,000) |
|
Value Indication |
$37,000,000 |
|
Weighting |
50% |
|
Single Period Capitalization Method |
|
|
Net
Cash Flow to Invested Capital |
$5,000,000 |
|
WACC |
15.0% |
|
Less
Long-term Growth Rate |
4.0% |
|
Capitalization Rate |
11.0% |
|
Value Indication |
$45,454,545 |
|
Marketability Discount |
25.0% |
|
Value Indication (rounded) |
$34,091,000 |
|
Weighting |
50% |
|
Value Reconciliation |
|
|
50%
DMDM Value |
$18,500,000 |
|
50%
SPCM Value |
$17,045,500 |
|
Value Indication |
$35,545,500 |
|
Portfolio Discount |
10.0% |
|
Final Value Indication (rounded) |
$31,991,000 |
However, in an effort to add value to the
process for which he was engaged, the analyst
also provides an indication of value were the
Company to divest itself of the oil equipment
manufacturing division, through either a sale of
the division or by spinning the division off
into a separate entity. In conducting this
analysis, the analyst concludes the following:
·
Once again, it is appropriate to use a
price-to-sales ratio to develop an indication of
value with the direct market data method under
the market approach. Without the drag on
earnings resulting from the oil equipment
manufacturing division, the analyst selects a
price-to-sales ratio of 0.80, which is above the
median ratio of 0.70 for the entire set of
transaction data relating to textile and textile
equipment manufacturers. Removing the $10
million revenues associated with the oil
equipment division, this produces an indication
of value of $52,000,000 ($65,000,000 x .80).
After adjusting for packaging differences (cash,
accounts receivable, and accounts payable), the
value indication is $51,650,000. The analyst
will once again weight this method 50% in
determining the final value. With respect to
the oil equipment division, the analyst
determines that the median price-to-sales
multiple for the transaction data for the
industry is 0.85. Based on the earnings of the
oil equipment division, the analyst selects .50
as the appropriate price-to-sales ratio. This
produces an indication of value of $5,000,000
($10,000,000 revenues x .50). Adjusting for
packaging differences, the value indication is
$4,850,000.
·
The analyst once again elects to use a single
period capitalization method to develop an
indication of value under the Income Approach.
Removing the impact of the ($1,250,000) net cash
flow to invested capital associated with the oil
equipment division, Patriot Industries’ net cash
flow to invested capital is recalculated at
$6,250,000. The Company’s weighted average cost
of capital is also recalculated at 13%. The
growth prospects for the Company still appear
favorable, so the analyst retains a long-term
sustainable growth rate of 4%. This results in
a capitalization rate of 9%. This produces an
indication of value of $69,444,444. The analyst
does not use the Income Approach to develop an
indication of value for the oil equipment
manufacturing division.
·
With the removal of the oil equipment division,
the analyst determines that a portfolio discount
is no longer appropriate. However, the 25% lack
of marketability discount arrived at through
analysis of multiple factors, is still
applicable to the value indication arrived under
the Income Approach.
As a result, the
analyst estimates the fair market value for
Patriot Industries as illustrated in the
following table.
|
TABLE 2 |
|
|
Patriot Industries |
|
|
Direct Market Data Method |
|
|
Revenues |
$65,000,000 |
|
P/S
Multiple |
0.80 |
|
Packaging Differences |
($350,000) |
|
Value Indication |
$51,650,000 |
|
Weighting |
50% |
|
Single Period Capitalization Method |
|
|
Net
Cash Flow to Invested Capital |
$6,250,000 |
|
WACC |
13.0% |
|
Less
Long-term Growth Rate |
4.0% |
|
Capitalization Rate |
9.0% |
|
Value Indication |
$69,444,444 |
|
Marketability Discount |
25.0% |
|
Value Indication (rounded) |
$52,083,000 |
|
Weighting |
50% |
|
Value Reconciliation |
|
|
50%
DMDM Value |
$25,825,000 |
|
50%
SPCM Value |
$26,041,500 |
|
Value Indication |
$51,866,500 |
|
Portfolio Discount |
0% |
|
Final Value Indication (rounded) |
$51,867,000 |
The
removal of the loss making oil equipment
manufacturing division unlocks significant value
for Patriot Industries and its shareholders by
eliminating the need for a portfolio discount,
increasing the price-to-sales multiple,
increasing net cash flow to invested capital,
and reducing the weighted average cost of
capital. As the previous calculations show, the
value of Patriot Industries on an enterprise
level increases 62% from roughly $32 million to
$52 million. In addition, assuming that the
Company were able to sell the oil equipment
division for at least $4,850,000 to either a
financial buyer or a strategic buyer (who may be
willing to pay more than the estimated fair
market value should there be synergies), Patriot
Industries would have created additional value
and generated cash to either distribute to
shareholders, reinvest in the Company’s growth,
or pay down debt.
This
example should illustrate the potential impact
various discounts may have upon the value of a
closely held and family controlled business. In
addition, executive management, the Board of
Directors, and shareholders should carefully
consider the possibility of unlocking
shareholder value through a divestiture of
unprofitable businesses and/or those unrelated
to the firm’s core operations, as these
unrelated businesses may serve to depress
shareholder value and destroy wealth. A closely
held and family controlled company that is
successful at creating transgenerational wealth
is likely to realize the benefits of assessing
the firm’s operations and actively seeking ways
to unlock shareholder value through a
divestiture or spin off of unrelated business
operations.
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