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JNC
Shipping Corporation Case Study
JNC Shipping Corporation is a multinational shipping firm that operates oil
tankers in the North Sea, from Venezuela to the
United States, and LNG tankers in the Pacific.
The executive management team is comprised
primarily of members of the Cloninger family.
In addition, the Board is controlled by members
of the Cloninger family who share the same views
on how the Company should be managed. Though
there are a few independent directors, they are
closely aligned with the controlling members of
the Cloninger family and support the executive
management of the Company. The Board asks few
questions of the executive management team which
has delivered steady earnings growth over the
last several years. As a result, several
members of the executive management team along
with members of the Board have been allowing
their personal expenses and those of a few
“select” shareholders to be paid by the
Company. This practice has become rife in the
last several years, serving to depress the full
earnings potential of the Company. The personal
expenses associated with the executive
management and the Board of Directors totaled
$1,010,000 for the most recent fiscal year and
included the following items:
·
CEO’s personal country club membership dues and
monthly food and beverage expenses at the
country club—$122,000
·
Use of corporate jet for personal travel by a
Board member and family member to and from the
corporate retreat in St Moritz—$95,000
·
Vacations and travel expenses of executive
management following various conventions in Las
Vegas, New York, Tokyo, and Amsterdam—$35,000
·
Renovations to personal residences and second
homes of the CEO, CFO, and Chairman of the
Board, including installation of new swimming
pools, a tennis court, and fitness
facilities—$325,000
·
Gifts that include purchases of artwork and
jewels for friends and family members of various
Board members—$222,000
·
Contributions to various charities and
foundations associated with certain family
members and directors—$211,000.
In addition to
the above personal expenses, the Company has
made loans on favorable terms (virtually zero
interest loans with no repayment schedule) to
Board members, family members, and entities or
businesses associated with these individuals.
These loans, which are unlikely to ever be
repaid, have historically been forgiven or
written off by the Company. To avoid arousing
suspicion and jealousy among the shareholders,
these loans have been made to holding companies
or other entities to protect the identity of the
family member or executive who received the
proceeds from the loan. As of the end of the
most recent fiscal year, the outstanding loans
to family members, Board members, and managers
totaled $10 million.
Beyond the
annual report provided to the shareholding
members of the Cloninger family, the executive
management and the Board of Directors do not
provide any additional information and hold no
periodic family meetings to discuss the
administration of the Company, the strategic
plan that is reviewed periodically by the Board
and the executive management, or the succession
plan. With certain members of the executive
management team nearing retirement age, several
members of the younger generation have begun to
press for a clear succession plan to be
developed. In addition, JNC Shipping
Corporation has been approached by several
publicly traded companies and private equity
groups regarding a potential merger or
acquisition of the Company.
With this in
mind, several younger shareholders have
informally begun to press the Board of Directors
to consider the available options and put them
on the table. In anticipation of a potential
sale and to assess the informal offers that have
been made, the Board of Directors hired XYZ
Financial Consulting Group to conduct a
valuation of the Company. However, XYZ
Financial Consulting Group is, unbeknownst to
Triumvirate shareholders, majority owned (but
not operated) by one of the allegedly
“independent” directors serving on the Company’s
Board. XYZ Financial Consulting Group mainly
provides brokerage services and portfolio
management services for high net worth
individuals and businesses. No one at XYZ
Financial Consulting Group has ever conducted a
valuation of a closely held or family controlled
business. The analyst selected to conduct the
valuation did serve as an analyst (as an intern
in college over twenty years ago) at a major
investment bank where the duties involved
research and analysis of publicly traded
companies in the manufacturing industry.
In conducting
the valuation of JNC Shipping Corporation, XYZ’s
financial analyst is confronted with the
following issues:
·
Fearing that the other shareholders will become
hostile and seek legal action, the executive
management and Board chooses not to fully
disclose the practice of allowing the Company to
pay for certain personal expenses of select
shareholder and managers. Though the executive
management and the Board know that this will
artificially depress the value of the Company,
they fear that the potential damage arising from
revelation of their questionable activities
would hinder a potential merger or acquisition.
In a compromise between the executive management
and the Board, they agree to provide the
financial analyst with some adjustments relating
to minor personal expenses which are unlikely to
arouse suspicions among the other shareholders.
These personal expenses total $10,000.
·
In
an attempt to increase the value of the firm,
the financial analyst is influenced to minimize
the Specific Company Risk Premium and Family
Business Risk Premium, thus reducing the cost of
capital and increasing the value of the firm.
·
Knowing that the loans made to family members
and booked as long-term debt on the Company’s
Balance Sheet will help to reduce the Company’s
weighted average cost of capital, the CFO
encourages the financial analyst to leave this
debt on the Balance Sheet.
·
Based on management’s own aggressive
expectations for the future, the analyst is
convinced that the Company’s long-term
sustainable growth rate in revenues is over 15%
with a long-term sustainable growth rate in net
cash flow to invested capital of roughly 8%.
This figure is significantly higher than the
Company’s historic growth in net cash flow to
invested capital of 3% over the last two
decades.
·
Having no experience in valuing a closely held
and family controlled company, the analyst does
not apply a discount to the value conclusion to
reflect a relative lack of marketability.
·
The analyst does not conduct a search of any
databases for transaction data relating to
closely held and family controlled companies.
Rather, the analyst will base the valuation
solely on the Income Approach.
Based on the
financial information supplied, the financial
analyst calculates that JNC Shipping
Corporation’ net cash flow to invested capital
for the most recent fiscal year was $3,000,000.
This reflects the $10,000 adjustment for
personal expenses made to the Income Statement
of the Company. Leaving the $10 million in
questionable loans on the Balance Sheet results
in $12 million for the Company’s total long-term
debt, as compared to $5 million in book value
equity. With no regard to the Specific Company
Risk Premium or the Family Business Risk
Premium, the analyst calculates a cost of equity
capital of 21.4% (5% risk-free rate, 7.2% equity
risk premium, and a 9.2% size premium based on
data from Ibbotson Associates). The analyst
further assumes that the interest rate on all of
the long-term debt is 8%, including the
virtually zero interest rate loans made to
family members and Board members. The Company’s
tax rate is assumed to be 35%. These factors
lead the analyst to calculate a weighted average
cost of capital of 16.1% for the Company. With
a long-term sustainable growth rate estimated at
8%, the analyst calculates a capitalization rate
of 8.1% or a multiple of 12.3.
Based on this,
the analyst calculates a fair market value for
the firm (on an invested capital and equity
basis) as illustrated in the following table.
|
TABLE 1 |
|
|
JNC Shipping Corporation |
|
|
Fair
Market Value of Firm |
|
|
|
|
|
Net
Cash Flow to Invested Capital |
$3,000,000 |
|
Capitalization Rate |
8.1% |
|
Value of Invested Capital |
$36,899,734 |
|
Less
Long-term Debt |
$12,000,000 |
|
Value of Equity |
$24,899,734 |
|
Fair
Market Value of Equity (rounded) |
$24,900,000 |
|
Shares Outstanding |
2,000,000 |
|
Fair
Market Value per Share |
$12.45 |
The
shareholders, family members, Board of
Directors, and executive management are pleased
with the results of the valuation conducted by
XYZ Financial Consulting Group. Based on the
valuation conclusion, a majority of the
shareholders vote to authorize the Board and
executive management to sell the Company to a
strategic buyer or a private equity group for
the maximum realizable value. As such, the
Company hires XYZ Financial Consulting Group to
represent it in pursuit of an acquisition of the
Company. Within several weeks, XYZ Financial
Consulting Group has been approached by several
interested buyers. XYZ Financial Consulting
Group presents the buyers with a copy of the
valuation report prepared for JNC Shipping
Corporation as a way of establishing a minimum
price level for further negotiations.
All but one of the
potential buyers (Troilis International)
withdraw their offers upon seeing the valuation
report. Troilis International, however, is a
publicly traded conglomerate based in London and
controlled by descendants of its founder. The
CEO, Jacqueline Nicolé, has an extensive
financial background and believes that the
valuation is fundamentally flawed. To rebut XYZ
Financial Consulting Group’s valuation, Ms.
Nicolé
hires a professional strategic advisory and
valuation firm in the United States to conduct
its own valuation as part of the preliminary due
diligence. The financial analyst hired by
Nicolé has extensive experience in valuing
closely held and family controlled businesses,
both domestic and international, and is a
leading authority on the subject, having written
numerous articles and several books on the topic
of business valuation.
Based on the financial information provided to
Troilis International during preliminary due
diligence, the analyst quickly identifies the
areas for potential adjustments. Following
several intense discussions with the CFO and CEO
of JNC Shipping Corporation, the Company finally
provides the analyst with the $1,010,000 in
personal expenses associated with the family
members, Board, and management in addition to
legitimate non-recurring expenses (roughly
$350,000) that had been overlooked by the
analyst at XYZ Financial Consulting Group. As a
result, the analyst adjusts the net cash flow to
invested capital to $4 million. The analyst
also identifies the loans made to family
members, Board members, and the executive
management and makes the appropriate $10 million
adjustment to the Company’s long-term debt.
In developing
the Company’s estimated cost of equity capital,
the analyst applies a Specific Company Risk
Premium of 4.6% and a Family Business Risk
Premium of 5.0% to the 21.4% cost of equity
capital estimated in the report prepared by XYZ
Financial Consulting Group. This results in an
estimated cost of equity capital of 31.0%. As a
result of the analysis, the analyst calculates
the Company’s weighted average cost of capital
at 27.8%. The analyst further assumes that the
Company’s long-term sustainable growth rate in
net cash flow to invested capital is 3%, in line
with its historic average and appropriate for
the analyst’s own reasonable forecasted
earnings. The growth rate is also comparable to
the growth rate experienced by other firms in
the industry based on an industry analysis
prepared by the analyst as part of the valuation
report. With an estimated 3% sustainable growth
rate, the capitalization rate is 24.8% (a
multiple of 4.03). After a review of a number
of studies and empirical data relating to
marketability discounts and a factor analysis,
the analyst estimates the appropriate lack of
marketability discount applicable to the Company
of 25%. This produces the value conclusion
calculated in the following table:
|
TABLE 2 |
|
|
JNC Shipping Corporation |
|
|
Fair
Market Value of Firm |
|
|
|
|
|
Net
Cash Flow to Invested Capital |
$4,000,000 |
|
Capitalization Rate |
24.8% |
|
Value of Invested Capital |
$16,128,512 |
|
Less
Long-term Debt |
$2,000,000 |
|
Value of Equity |
$14,128,512 |
|
Less
Marketability Discount of 25% |
($3,532,128) |
|
Fair
Market Value of Equity (rounded) |
$10,596,000 |
|
Shares Outstanding |
2,000,000 |
|
Fair
Market Value per Share |
$5.30 |
As
can be seen from the preceding table, the fair
market value on a per share basis as determined
by the valuation expert is 57% lower than the
value produced by XYZ Financial Consulting
Group. When Troilis International presents
their offer for JNC Shipping Corporation based
on the thorough and well-documented valuation,
JNC Shipping Corporation’s Board (and
shareholders) reject the offer outright and
stand by the flawed valuation prepared by XYZ
Financial Consulting Group. Furthermore, the
shareholders are shocked and outraged by the
revelations of what they consider to be
corporate malfeasance and the legitimate value
for the Company, given their heightened
expectations stemming from the inflated
valuation report prepared by XYZ Financial
Consulting Group.
This case
illustrates the importance of having effective
corporate governance, good communication between
the family members/shareholders and the
executive management and Board of Directors, and
experienced, credible, independent valuation
professionals performing a valuation of a family
owned or closely held business. In addition,
family owned businesses should clearly establish
how the business is to be run—as a personal
piggybank or as a business managed to maximize
return to its shareholders and to create
transgenerational wealth.
Unqualified valuation professionals may not
fully understand the dynamics of closely held
businesses and the factors that drive value.
Without experience in valuing closely held
businesses, a financial analyst may utilize
inappropriate assumptions, fail to apply the
appropriate approaches and methods, and
ultimately arrive at a value conclusion that is
fundamentally flawed. |